← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Aug 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 16% | 5.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Thorsten Röcher · Ingolstadt |
| 37' | ⚽ | Pascal Testroet · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 50' | 🟨 | Tobias Schröck · Ingolstadt |
| 67' | 🟨 | Lucas Galvao · Ingolstadt |
| 70' | ⚽ | Darío Lezcano · Ingolstadt |
| 79' | ⚽ | Charlison Benschop · Ingolstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Ingolstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 395.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.21 | 4.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1486.50 | 1391.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.49 | -16.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| league points | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 28.14 |
| state index | -0.39 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |