← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Aug 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Magdeburg win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Frederic Ananou · Ingolstadt |
| 17' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Magdeburg |
| 29' | ⚽ | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Björn Rother · Magdeburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Pledl · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1516.00 | 389.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 9.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 4.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.61 |
| elo | 1486.25 | 1484.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | -35.45 |
| eye test v1 | -1.85 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 26.40 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |