← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Aug 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Reichel, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Greuther Furth win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 358.00 | 511.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 4.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1463.71 | 1421.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.21 | -12.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 69.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 25.31 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |