← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Aug 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Greuther Furth win | 17% | 5.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | ⚽ | Lukas Gugganig · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · Greuther Furth |
| 71' | ⚽ | Thorsten Röcher · Ingolstadt |
| 74' | 🟨 | Richard Magyar · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Frederic Ananou · Ingolstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 28 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 18 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.36 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 374.00 | 343.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1487.17 | 1461.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.84 | -0.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 26.86 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |