← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Aug 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastian Dankert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Darmstadt win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 52' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 54' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 62' | 🟨 | Phillip Tietz · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Aytaç Sulu · Darmstadt |
| 71' | 🟨 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes · Darmstadt |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 247.00 | 491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 4.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1520.54 | 1413.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.33 | 0.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | — |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | — |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | — |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | — |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | — |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | — |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | — |
| squad age | 27.53 | — |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | — |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | — |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | — |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |