← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Aug 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Willenborg, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 29' | ⚽ | Christopher Buchtmann · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Johannes Flum · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 81' | ⚽ | Marvin Knoll · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 1.80 |
| coach days | 1496.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.10 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| — |
| -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.42 |
| elo | 1500.00 | 1458.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | -14.69 |
| eye test v1 | — | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | — | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | — | 2.00 |
| matches since win | — | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | — | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | — | 43.40 |
| rest days | — | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | — | -1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | — | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | — | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | — | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.12 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | — | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | — | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | — | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.20 |