← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Aug 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Zwayer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 40% | 2.39 |
| Bochum win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 44' | ⚽ (og) | Maxim Leitsch · 1. FC Köln |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jorge Meré · 1. FC Köln |
| 58' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
| 59' | ⚽ | Rafael Czichos · 1. FC Köln |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jorge Meré · 1. FC Köln |
| 70' | 🟥 | Jorge Meré · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 184.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1493.35 | 1577.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.82 | -27.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 29.15 | 26.91 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |