← Segunda División 2018 · Tue, Jun 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias Villanueva, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Numancia win | 32% | 3.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vázquez · Zaragoza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Pichu Atienza · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| coach days | 185.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1506.68 | 1435.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.97 | 6.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.86 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.80 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 56.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.68 | 25.27 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |