← Segunda División 2018 · Tue, Jun 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Málaga CF win | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Javier Ontiveros · Málaga CF |
| 39' | 🟨 | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 40' | 🟨 | Javi Acuña · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Málaga CF |
| 52' | ⚽ | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 54' | 🟨 | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 54' | 🟥 | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 57' | ⚽ | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
| 65' | 🟨 | Santiago Gentiletti · Albacete |
| 68' | 🟨 | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 78' | 🟨 | Monir El Kajoui · Málaga CF |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 83' | 🟨 | Barri · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 368.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1559.70 | 1544.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.58 | 23.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| league points | 75.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 9.92 | 11.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 27.32 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |