← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Almeria win | 16% | 5.89 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Luis Rioja · Almeria |
| 21' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Almeria |
| 23' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Mallorca |
| 30' | 🟨 | — · Almeria |
| 55' | 🟨 | — · Almeria |
| 55' | 🟥 | — · Almeria |
| 66' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
| 75' | ⚽ | Salva Sevilla · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟥 | Esteban Saveljich · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟥 | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 778.00 | 809.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.24 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1531.90 | 1495.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.59 | 8.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| league points | 67.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.68 | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |