← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Elche CF win | 25% | 3.81 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ (pen) | Nacho Gil · Elche CF |
| 9' | ⚽ | Nino · Elche CF |
| 15' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Villar · Elche CF |
| 15' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 37' | 🟨 | Nacho Gil · Elche CF |
| 43' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nino · Elche CF |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 46' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 59' | ⚽ | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 67' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Iván Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 25 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 802.00 | 465.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1483.79 | 1476.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.98 | 11.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| league points | 55.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 28.70 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |