← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
| Extremadura win | 33% | 2.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 18' | ⚽ (og) | Casto · Zaragoza |
| 63' | ⚽ | Pep Biel · Zaragoza |
| 80' | ⚽ | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 99.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -5.00 |
| 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1439.94 | 1472.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 60.23 | -6.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 43.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.72 |
| league points | 45.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.56 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 26.35 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |