← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| Numancia win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Barri · Albacete |
| 81' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Santiago Gentiletti · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 338.00 | 338.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1533.12 | 1419.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.39 | -19.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.10 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | — |
| league points | 65.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 25.17 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |