← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Lugo win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Las Palmas |
| 31' | ⚽ | Alberto de la Bella · Las Palmas |
| 37' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Las Palmas |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sergio Araujo · Las Palmas |
| 79' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 83' | 🟨 | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Juan Muñiz · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 58.00 |
| venue | Gran Canaria |
| 209.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.88 |
| elo | 1394.65 | 1396.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.38 | 3.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.23 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| league points | 43.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | -1.10 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |