← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Tenerife win | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Uroš Račić · Tenerife |
| 24' | 🟨 | Iker Undabarrena · Tenerife |
| 24' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Tenerife |
| 25' | ⚽ | Kike · Extremadura |
| 31' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 33' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Tenerife |
| 61' | 🟥 | Jorge Sáenz · Tenerife |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nando · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 85.00 | 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1421.40 | 1449.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.65 | -13.11 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.66 |
| league points | 39.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.41 | 26.77 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |