← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Almeria win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 17' | 🟨 | Borja Lasso · Tenerife |
| 21' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 25' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mauro Dos Santos · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 53' | 🟨 | Dani Hernández · Tenerife |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 58' | ⚽ | Luis Rioja · Almeria |
| 77' | ⚽ | José Naranjo · Tenerife |
| 79' | 🟨 | Suso · Tenerife |
| 82' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ermedin Demirovic · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Heliodoro Rodríguez López |
| coach days | 232.00 | 781.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1465.33 | 1495.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.05 | -2.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| league points | 40.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 25.94 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |