← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Numancia win | 16% | 6.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Ager Aketxe · Cadiz |
| 11' | ⚽ | Jairo Izquierdo · Cadiz |
| 41' | 🟨 | Unai Medina · Numancia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pape Maly Diamanka · Numancia |
| 50' | ⚽ | David Rodriguez · Numancia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Alejandro Sanz · Numancia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Unai Medina · Numancia |
| 87' | 🟥 | Unai Medina · Numancia |
| 88' | 🟨 | David Rodriguez · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Darwin Machís · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Darwin Machís · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1115.00 |
| venue | Estadio Ramon de Carranza |
| 324.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.67 |
| elo | 1538.98 | 1421.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.95 | -24.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.63 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| league points | 56.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 6.67 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.18 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |