← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.86 |
| Lugo win | 28% | 3.49 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Granada |
| 35' | 🟨 | Giorgi Aburjania · Lugo |
| 36' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vadillo · Granada |
| 62' | 🟨 | Miguel Vieira · Lugo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Granada |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrian Ramos · Granada |
| 75' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alejandro Pozo · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 30 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 201.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1427.86 | 1526.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.89 | -23.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| league points | 38.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.58 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |