← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Numancia win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ (og) | Joan Sastre · Numancia |
| 33' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Salvador Ruiz · Mallorca |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Mallorca |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ante Budimir · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pelayo Suarez · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Salva Sevilla · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 317.00 | 743.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1433.25 | 1506.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.91 | 26.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.59 | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.23 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |