← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Avalos Barrera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Extremadura win | 16% | 6.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 32' | ⚽ | Lolo González · Extremadura |
| 42' | 🟨 | Pau Torres · Málaga CF |
| 50' | ⚽ | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Alex Mula · Málaga CF |
| 75' | ⚽ | Jose Antonio Pardo · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 12.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1518.05 | 1391.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.75 | 26.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 57.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 28.51 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |