← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Lugo win | 23% | 4.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Nacho Vidal · CA Osasuna |
| 20' | 🟨 | Oier · CA Osasuna |
| 22' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 61' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Robert Ibáñez · CA Osasuna |
| 67' | ⚽ | David García · CA Osasuna |
| 71' | 🟨 | Josete · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟨 | David García · CA Osasuna |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Xisco · CA Osasuna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 188.00 | 310.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1403.49 | 1603.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.42 | 11.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 34.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 27.65 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |