← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| Almeria win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 66' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Lolo González · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Casto · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 64.00 | 766.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -1.80 |
| -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1379.71 | 1498.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.93 | -16.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 65.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 30.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 25.77 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |