← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Albacete win | 30% | 3.21 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 18' | ⚽ (og) | Gerard Valentín · Albacete |
| 29' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Álvaro Arroyo · Albacete |
| 43' | 🟨 | Miguel Vieira · Lugo |
| 63' | ⚽ | Aleix Febas · Albacete |
| 82' | ⚽ | Álvaro Tejero · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 173.00 | 295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 3.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1416.31 | 1516.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.49 | -16.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| league points | 33.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 28.72 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |