← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
| Lugo win | 15% | 6.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 30' | 🟨 | José Mari · Cadiz |
| 64' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 68' | ⚽ | Manu Vallejo · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Ramon de Carranza |
| coach days | 1079.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1557.99 | 1410.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.50 | -10.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 48.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 27.71 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |