← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Numancia win | 19% | 5.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
| 24' | ⚽ | Luis Milla · Tenerife |
| 29' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Uroš Račić · Tenerife |
| 53' | 🟨 | Luis Milla · Tenerife |
| 76' | 🟨 | Unai Medina · Numancia |
| 85' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Filip Malbašić · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Heliodoro Rodríguez López |
| coach days | 190.00 | 282.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1449.07 | 1453.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.11 | -19.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 25.96 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |