← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
| Zaragoza win | 19% | 5.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Germán Sánchez · Granada |
| 20' | 🟨 | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 75' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Rui Silva · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 282.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1543.27 | 1482.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.76 | -7.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| league points | 53.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 27.59 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |