← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Cordoba win | 23% | 4.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Andrés Martín · Cordoba |
| 14' | ⚽ | Borja Granero Ninerola · Extremadura |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jose Antonio Pardo · Extremadura |
| 41' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Cordoba |
| 43' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Cordoba |
| 45' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Cordoba |
| 54' | 🟥 | Yann Bodiger · Cordoba |
| 55' | 🟨 | José Ángel Carrillo · Cordoba |
| 85' | 🟨 | Javier Lara · Cordoba |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alejandro Alfaro · Cordoba |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kike · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 37.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1364.43 | 1401.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.32 | -8.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| league points | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.68 | 26.00 |
| state index | -1.31 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |