← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
| Almeria win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 38' | 🟨 | Diogo Verdasca · Zaragoza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Almeria |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alberto Benito · Zaragoza |
| 59' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 64' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 77' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vázquez · Zaragoza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Dorado · Zaragoza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marc Gual · Zaragoza |
| 83' | ⚽ | Esteban Saveljich · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟥 | Alberto Soro · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 92.00 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| 732.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.18 |
| elo | 1461.82 | 1474.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.60 | 18.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| league points | 31.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.48 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |