← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
| Extremadura win | 16% | 6.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Extremadura |
| 32' | 🟨 | Alberto de la Bella · Las Palmas |
| 37' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Las Palmas |
| 42' | 🟨 | Fausto Tienza · Extremadura |
| 51' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 61' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 73' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Las Palmas |
| 79' | 🟨 | Casto · Extremadura |
| 83' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Las Palmas |
| 83' | 🟥 | Juan Cala · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rafa Mir · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 2.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1474.56 | 1359.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.73 | -49.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 40.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.52 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.81 | 28.44 |
| state index | 0.01 | -1.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |