← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Numancia win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Francisco Villalba · Numancia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Nando · Extremadura |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jose Antonio Pardo · Extremadura |
| 86' | 🟨 | Guillermo · Numancia |
| 88' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 23.00 | 268.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1368.70 | 1466.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.92 | 14.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| league points | 23.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.52 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 26.08 |
| state index | -1.31 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |