← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Elche CF win | 28% | 3.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Alexander González · Elche CF |
| 35' | 🟨 | Toni Martínez · Lugo |
| 49' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 55' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Lugo |
| 58' | ⚽ | Yacine Qasmi · Elche CF |
| 65' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Lugo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tekio · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 146.00 | 388.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1400.11 | 1423.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.84 | 7.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| league points | 27.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.43 | 27.50 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |