← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Lugo win | 20% | 4.84 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Lugo |
| 8' | ⚽ | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 11' | 🟨 | Hernan Menosse · Lugo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Mallorca |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 69' | ⚽ | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 70' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Vieira · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Lago Júnior · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 687.00 | 139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 4.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1471.18 | 1411.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.77 | -22.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| league points | 37.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 27.58 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |