← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Feb 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Extremadura win | 23% | 4.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Iván Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 33' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 38' | 🟨 | Fausto Tienza · Extremadura |
| 47' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alfredo Ortuño · Extremadura |
| 88' | 🟨 | Javi Flores · Elche CF |
| 88' | ⚽ | — · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 380.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1412.83 | 1379.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.57 | -38.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.05 | 28.88 |
| state index | -0.37 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |