← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Numancia win | 21% | 4.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 23' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Almeria |
| 34' | 🟨 | José Romera · Almeria |
| 70' | 🟥 | Unai Medina · Numancia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Alain Oyarzun · Numancia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Luis Rioja · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pichu Atienza · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 711.00 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 254.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 2.83 |
| elo | 1447.99 | 1452.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.38 | 9.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | — |
| league points | 31.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |