← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Mallorca win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Jérémie Bela · Albacete |
| 61' | 🟨 | — · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Torres · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟥 | Miguel Parera · Mallorca |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Néstor Susaeta · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 254.00 | 680.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.98 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1522.05 | 1481.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.70 | 4.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| league points | 46.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.81 | 26.21 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |