← Segunda División 2018 · Mon, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias Villanueva, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
| Zaragoza win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Las Palmas |
| 28' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Las Palmas |
| 33' | 🟨 | Íñigo Eguaras · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vázquez · Zaragoza |
| 46' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 49' | 🟨 | Rafa Mir · Las Palmas |
| 64' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gabriel Peñalba · Las Palmas |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gabriel Peñalba · Las Palmas |
| 76' | 🟥 | Gabriel Peñalba · Las Palmas |
| 81' | 🟨 | David Timor · Las Palmas |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alberto Guitián · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Linares · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 79.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| elo | 1467.83 | 1490.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.31 | 11.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 1.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| league points | 32.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 29.89 | 26.55 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |