← Segunda División 2018 · Fri, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.85 |
| Almeria win | 19% | 5.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 25' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Málaga CF |
| 59' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 70' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ermedin Demirovic · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luis Rioja · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 245.00 | 702.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1532.51 | 1474.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.42 | 4.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| league points | 44.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 25.65 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |