← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Numancia win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 34' | ⚽ | Nino · Elche CF |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pape Maly Diamanka · Numancia |
| 47' | 🟨 | Karim Azamoum · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 359.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1411.00 | 1459.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.84 | -10.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 25.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 26.57 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |