← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34% | 2.83 |
| Almeria win | 34% | 2.89 |
| CA Osasuna win | 32% | 3.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Almeria |
| 34' | 🟨 | Aridane Hernández · CA Osasuna |
| 65' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
| 75' | ⚽ | Brandon · CA Osasuna |
| 77' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Brandon · CA Osasuna |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Rioja · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 696.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1485.01 | 1537.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.04 | 15.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| league points | 33.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.49 | 27.43 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |