← Segunda División 2018 · Fri, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Oviedo win | 26% | 3.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
| 76' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vázquez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vázquez · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 55.00 | 573.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 2.00 |
| -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1475.89 | 1516.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.01 | 24.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| league points | 26.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 29.21 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |