← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.77 |
| Extremadura win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Oviedo win | 31% | 3.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Joselu · Oviedo |
| 42' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 49' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Yoel Bárcenas · Oviedo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Toché · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fausto Tienza · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 80.00 | 568.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1418.61 | 1502.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.09 | -2.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| league points | 21.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.54 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 29.53 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |