← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Mallorca win | 17% | 5.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Kike Barja · CA Osasuna |
| 10' | 🟨 | Lago Júnior · Mallorca |
| 46' | 🟨 | Joan Sastre · Mallorca |
| 48' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
| 55' | 🟨 | Fran Mérida · CA Osasuna |
| 61' | ⚽ | Roberto Torres · CA Osasuna |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ariday · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Sadar |
| coach days | 233.00 | 659.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1527.12 | 1475.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.40 | -7.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 25.00 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |