← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Jan 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.79 |
| Cadiz win | 28% | 3.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 21' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 31' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 35' | 🟨 | Edu Ramos · Cadiz |
| 42' | 🟨 | Dejan Lekic · Cadiz |
| 60' | 🟨 | José Mari · Cadiz |
| 75' | 🟨 | José Mari · Cadiz |
| 75' | 🟥 | José Mari · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 689.00 | 1023.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.83 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1484.80 | 1552.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.73 | 2.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.85 |
| league points | 32.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 28.15 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |