← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Málaga CF win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Alberto Guitián · Zaragoza |
| 30' | ⚽ | Federico Ricca · Málaga CF |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mehdi Lacen · Málaga CF |
| 59' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · Málaga CF |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alberto Benito · Zaragoza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Pau Torres · Málaga CF |
| 82' | ⚽ | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 43.00 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| 226.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 4.08 |
| elo | 1460.02 | 1449.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.14 | -12.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.94 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| league points | 22.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |