← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Extremadura win | 26% | 3.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 8' | 🟨 | Fausto Tienza · Extremadura |
| 31' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Lugo |
| 36' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 46' | ⚽ | Kike · Extremadura |
| 65' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 104.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1434.15 | 1416.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.65 | 6.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.31 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 27.07 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |