← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Jan 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
| Reus win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Ricardo Vaz · Reus |
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Alejandro Catena · Numancia |
| 32' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Reus |
| 50' | 🟨 | Yaw Yeboah · Numancia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Pelayo Suarez · Numancia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jordi Sánchez · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | — · Reus |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Querol · Reus |
| 90' | ⚽ | David Querol · Reus |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reus | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 203.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Reus |
| 225.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 3.69 |
| elo | 1386.89 | 1432.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.36 | -3.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| keeper form v1 | 1.00 | 0.72 |
| league points | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |