← Segunda División 2018 · Mon, Jan 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Oviedo win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Javier Hernández · Oviedo |
| 23' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 26' | 🟨 | Viti Rozada · Oviedo |
| 50' | ⚽ | Yaw Yeboah · Numancia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Pape Maly Diamanka · Numancia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Javier Hernández · Oviedo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 220.00 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 555.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.95 |
| elo | 1443.49 | 1451.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.46 | -10.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.53 |
| league points | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 16.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |