← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 78% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.07 |
| Reus win | 6% | 16.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Borja Herrera · Reus |
| 30' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 37' | 🟨 | Miguel Linares · Reus |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jack Harper · Málaga CF |
| 57' | 🟨 | Renato Santos · Málaga CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Diego González · Málaga CF |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Gus Ledes · Reus |
| 83' | ⚽ | David Querol · Reus |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Reus |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 219.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1537.13 | 1386.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.42 | -17.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| league points | 37.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 27.45 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |