← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Mallorca win | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Mallorca |
| 27' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 29' | 🟨 | José Romera · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 63' | 🟨 | Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca |
| 71' | ⚽ | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 86' | 🟨 | Pervis Estupiñán · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 676.00 | 645.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1470.12 | 1477.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.85 | -3.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| league points | 28.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 26.68 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |