← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Dec 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Almeria win | 26% | 3.77 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Javi Flores · Elche CF |
| 20' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 29' | 🟨 | Joaquin Arzura · Almeria |
| 40' | 🟨 | Iván Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 54' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 56' | 🟨 | Benja · Elche CF |
| 63' | 🟨 | Alexander González · Elche CF |
| 64' | ⚽ | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Xavi Torres · Elche CF |
| 81' | 🟨 | Javi Flores · Elche CF |
| 88' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 24 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 324.00 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 661.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.74 |
| elo | 1390.99 | 1439.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.53 | 9.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.33 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.33 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |